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Fig. 5 | Malaria Journal

Fig. 5

From: Falciparum malaria from coastal Tanzania and Zanzibar remains highly connected despite effective control efforts on the archipelago

Fig. 5

Comparison of historical parasite demography and infection prevalence. a Curves of recent historical effective population size (Ne) reconstructed from IBD segments; shaded regions give 95% bootstrap CIs. b Effective population size in the more remote past, reconstructed from phased haplotypes. Thin lines, independent model runs; bold lines, model averages (see “Methods”). Shaded region, range of inferred split times between mainland and Zanzibar populations. Scale of y-axis matches (a). c Estimated prevalence of P. falciparum infection from the Malaria Atlas Project at sampling sites for cohorts (expressed as age-standardized prevalence rate among children aged 2–10 years, PfPR2–10, in cross-sectional surveys); shaded regions give 95% credible intervals. Present = 2019

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