Table 5 Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis and model comparison

Intercept

2.0412050 (0.1071191)

< 2e–16

2.5712491 (0.2180926)

< 2e–16

Month August

0.1997012 (0.0321717)

5.39e–10

0.1489509 (0.0596761)

0.01256

Month December

0.5959069 (0.0338554)

< 2e–16

0.6129467 (0.0621383)

< 2e–16

Month February

0.4727498 (0.0339011)

< 2e–16

0.6179138 (0.0614459)

< 2e–16

Month January

0.5595071 (0.0360984)

< 2e–16

0.6190579 (0.0648127)

< 2e–16

Month July

0.2041098 (0.0314755)

8.89e–11

0.1460258 (0.0593064)

0.01381

Month June

0.2536605 (0.0316676)

1.15e–15

0.1937207 (0.0588766)

0.00100

Month March

0.5101808 (0.0326023)

< 2e–16

0.5079790 (0.0602246)

< 2e–16

Month May

0.2597362 (0.0312052)

< 2e–16

0.2216359 (0.0576237)

0.00012

Month November

0.7095393 (0.0297147)

< 2e–16

0.6977014 (0.0570473)

< 2e–16

Month October

0.3252624 (0.0310680)

< 2e–16

0.3767558 (0.0572062)

4.52e–11

Month September

0.4173954 (0.0312603)

< 2e–16

0.3839196 (0.0587822)

6.52e–11

April (Reference)

 Elevation > 2000 m

0.2372410 (0.0291927)

4.41e–16

0.1554760 (0.0537200)

0.00380

 Elv1801-1900 m

0.3615582 (0.0236513)

< 2e–16

0.3888692 (0.0425264)

< 2e–16

 Elv1901-2000 m

0.2054667 (0.0237197)

< 2e–16

0.1932937 (0.0422989)

4.88e–06

 Elv < 1800 m (Reference)

Rainfall

0.0031166 (0.0001301)

< 2e–16

0.0031249 (0.0002604)

< 2e–16

 TMP AVG

– 0.1036946 (0.0050472)

< 2e–16

– 0.1262568 (0.0099988)

< 2e–16

 TMPMIN

0.0075262 (0.0040111)

0.0606

0.0071389 (0.0074662)

0.33899

Sex male

0.0518893 (0.0118691)

1.23e–05

0.1047463 (0.0228256)

4.45e–06

 Female (Reference)

  Age 5–14

– 0.7515411 (0.0145588)

< 2e–16

– 0.7747979 (0.0275689)

< 2e–16

  Age < 5

– 0.7798807 (0.0147003)

< 2e–16

– 0.8021734 (0.0276449)

< 2e–16

  Age 15 + (Reference)

Theta (std. error)

–

0.46420

 AIC

89,437

67,948

 BIC

89607.08

69211.15