Fig. 2
Marginal posterior distributions of parameters from Eswatini surveillance data. Histograms represent the marginal posterior distribution of each parameter, colour-coded by the inference settings used. D is the diffusion coefficient with units sq km day−1, τs is the probability that an imported case reports travel, and τl is the probability that a locally acquired case reports travel. Grey shapes represent the prior distributions placed on each parameter. Inference settings in which a given parameter was not estimated are indicated by NA