Fig. 8
Comparison of Rc estimates across inference settings. The inference algorithm was applied to 2,000 simulated data sets. The estimated Rc is compared to the true Rc for each of the inference settings: A spatial and temporal data while estimating the accuracy of the travel history; B spatial and temporal data while believing the travel history; and C spatial and temporal data alone. Each point represents a simulated data set. The darker, accented points are simulated data sets with epidemiological features that improved performance. In A and C, the darker, accented points were simulated data sets where the mean temporal interval between imported infections was greater than two times the mean serial interval. In B, the darker, accented points were simulated data sets where the proportion of cases reporting travel was within 0.05 of the proportion of imported cases