Fig. 1
From: Infection age as a predictor of epidemiological metrics for malaria
Schematic breakdown of infections. Given infections are active, some fraction will be subpatent (i.e., undetectable by light microscopy) and the rest will be patent. Given the parasitaemia is patent, we can estimate the parasitaemia which will inform fever probability today and gametocytaemia roughly 9 days in the future. Fever rates presumably are correlated with treatment rates as symptomatic individuals are much more likely to seek treatment, and gametocytaemia is positively correlated with the transmission efficiency per mosquito bite