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Table 3 Different scenarios affecting the estimates for true pfhrp2/3 deletion prevalence

From: Screening strategies and laboratory assays to support Plasmodium falciparum histidine-rich protein deletion surveillance: where we are and what is needed

Scenario

Implications for antigen detection

Implications for DNA detection

Implications for prevalence estimates and clinical impact

References

Multiclonal infection with wild-type and deleted P. falciparum

Deleted parasites not detected even though antigen is detected

Deleted parasites not detected by conventional PCR, though possible to detect using multiplex real-time or dPCR

Underestimate true gene deletion prevalence, though no clinical impact or effect on false-negative RDT prevalence

[24, 37, 38]

Residual HRP2 from previous P. falciparum infection, and current infection with deleted P. falciparum

Positive result regardless of current P. falciparum infection status

No effect

Underestimate true gene deletion prevalence due to phenotypic positivity. No clinical impact

[59, 60]

Low-level and spatial heterogeneity of deletions

Results not representative

Results not representative

Incomplete data available to guide decision making

[61]

Seasonal fluctuations in deletion prevalence

Results not representative

Results not representative

Incomplete data available to guide decision making

[25]