Table 1 ITNs required under different distribution scenarios with estimated ITN access achieved over 2022–2030
ITN distribution scenario | Quantification | Max ITN access | Min ITN access | Total ITNs required 2022–2030 mainland | % difference in net need vs 3 year campaigns | Person-years of ITN access |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-year mass campaigns + RCH | Campaign = population/1.8 RCH = population × 7% | 90 | 35 | 120.5 m | − 22% | 753 |
3-year mass campaigns + RCH | Campaign = population/1.8 RCH = population × 7% | 100 | 71 | 154.4 m | Ref. | 881 |
3-year mass campaigns + RCH + school between campaign years | Campaign = population/1.8 RCH = population × 7% School = population × 5% | 100 | 80 | 174.6 m | + 13% | 914 |
4a. RCH + school targeting minimum 90% ITN access | RCH = population × 7% School = population × 22% | 94 | 90 | 175.5 m | 14% | 918 |
4b. RCH + school targeting minimum 80% access | RCH = population × 7% School = population × 15% | 90 | 80 | 133.2 m | − 14% | 863 |