Fig. 7

Example intervention impact results for four of the 152 interventions tested. The line plots (top) show intervention impact curves disaggregated by archetype, with archetypes colored according to the map (top right). The four prevalence maps (bottom) show hypothetical Plasmodium falciparum parasite rate among children aged 2–10 (\(PfPR_{2-10}\)) for each scenario. These maps were created by starting from a baseline map of 2000 as a proxy for a landscape without malaria interventions. For each initial prevalence value in the baseline map, a new prevalence value was found using the lines in the top set of plots. The linetype of subplot borders in the lower plots matches the linetype of interventions in the upper plots. For more detail about interventions see Table 3. ITN: Insecticide-treated net; IRS: Indoor residual spraying; AL CM: Artemether-Lumefantrine case management; ATSB: Attractive targeted sugar bait