The effect of the COVID-19 lockdown on malaria transmission in South Africa

Malaria Journal

Table 2 Regression results for local and imported cases (IRR and 95% confidence interval)

	Imported cases			Local cases
	KwaZulu-Natal	Mpumalanga	Limpopo	KwaZulu-Natal	Mpumalanga	Limpopo
Trend pre interruption	1.02 [1.01–1.03]	1 [0.99–1.01]	1 [0.99–1.01]	1 [0.99–1.01]	1.01 [0.99–1.03]	1 [0.98–1.02]
Interruption (March to April 2020)	0.13 [0.01–1.15]	0.3 [0.07–1.37]	1.14 [0.32–4.11]	0.33 [0.04–2.74]	0.35 [0–31.06]	1.52 [0.18–13.17]
Difference in trends pre/post interruption	0.98 [0.66–1.45]	0.99 [0.76–1.29]	0.79 [0.58–1.08]	1.07 [0.75–1.52]	0.87 [0.4–1.89]	0.78 [0.46–1.34]
Trend post interruption	0.99 [0.67–1.47]	0.99 [0.76–1.29]	0.79 [0.58–1.08]	1.06 [0.75–1.52]	0.88 [0.41–1.91]	0.78 [0.46–1.34]

ISSN: 1475-2875