Application of mathematical modelling to inform national malaria intervention planning in Nigeria

Malaria Journal

Table 1 Intervention scenarios chosen by the NMEP for simulation modelling

Scenario	Number of LGAs targeted for each intervention
Scenario	CM	Pyr ITN	PBO ITN	IG2 ITN	IPTp	SMC	IPTi
1: Business-as-usual (BAU)	774	774			774	80
2: NMSP ramping up to 80% coverage	774		774		774	404	365
3: Budget-prioritized plan with coverage increases at historical rate	774	136	605	33	774	235
4: Budget-prioritized plan with coverage increases at historical rate and expanded SMC in the PAAR	774	136	605	33	774	310

Numbers indicate number of LGAs receiving the intervention
CM case management, Pyr ITN Standard insecticide-treated nets/pyrethroid-only nets, PBO Pyrethroid + piperonyl butoxide nets, IG2 (α-cypermethrin and chlorfenapyr) nets, IPTp intermittent treatment in pregnancy, SMC seasonal malaria chemotherapy, IPTi intermittent preventive treatment in infants, PAAR priority above allocation request

ISSN: 1475-2875