Table 2 Percent change in PfPR in 2025 and 2030 relative to the BAU 2020 projected PfPR
From: Application of mathematical modelling to inform national malaria intervention planning in Nigeria
Scenario | All age PfPR percent change in 2025 relative to BAU 2020 (%) | U5 PfPR percent change in 2025 relative to BAU 2020 (%) | All age PfPR percent change in 2030 relative to BAU 2020 (%) | U5 PfPR percent change in 2030 relative to BAU 2020 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2.8 (2.4, 3.1) | 0.8 (0.2, 1.3) | 5.8 (5.5, 6.2) | 2.4 (2, 2.7) |
2 | − 57.4 (− 57, − 57.8) | − 73.6 (− 73.4, − 73.8) | − 72.1 (− 71.8, − 72.3) | − 85.6 (− 85.4, − 85.9) |
3 | − 29.3 (− 28.8, − 29.8) | − 40.8 (− 40.3, − 41.5) | − 38.6 (− 38.1, − 38.9) | − 54.9 (− 54.8, − 55.2) |
4 | − 30.0 (− 29.6, − 30.2) | − 43.6 (− 43.2, − 44.2) | − 39.1 (− 38.7, − 39.4) | − 57.9 (− 57.7, − 58.1) |