Fig. 5

Projected intervention impact of PMC and/or RTS,S at operational and target coverage for Southern Nigeria. A Nigerian States with PMC-eligible areas (n = 20 States). B–E Maps of Southern Nigeria showing (B) PfPR in children U5 according to rapid diagnostic test from the NDHS 2018; (C) simulated clinical cases per 1000 population per year in children U2; (D) coverage of first PMC dose by State; (E) predicted relative reduction in clinical cases in children U2 by State. F Coverage by potential PMC touchpoint, showing mean and range across 20 States in Southern Nigeria. See "Methods" section on estimation process for likely PMC coverage. G Annual clinical cases averted in children U2 at operational coverage and at target coverage (80%) for five PMC and/or RTS,S scenarios