Fig. 2

Estimated probability of finding at least one larva in a single dip sample taken from a site that contains mosquito larvae, relative to water temperature and sunshine on the water surface (sunny versus cloudy). Means (lines) and 95 % credible intervals (dashed lines with shading) were generated from the posterior distribution of the mixture model predictions (Table 2) when all variables except the ones being modelled were held at their average value