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Table 5 Positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of seropositivity at baseline for predicting infections during the study period

From: Using serological diagnostics to characterize remaining high-incidence pockets of malaria in forest-fringe Cambodia

Group

PPV (%)

95%CI

NPV (%)

95%CI

Whole cohort

46.08

(42.88%, 49.27%)

92.20

(90.48%, 93.92%)

Inside forest

45.53

(39.11%, 51.95%)

83.33

(78.53%, 88.14%)

Forest fringe

38.37

(33.13%, 43.62%)

91.80

(88.84%, 94.76%)

Outside forest

54.76

(49.71%, 59.81%)

95.85

(93.82%, 97.87%)

Males

58.66

(54.02%, 63.30%)

86.22

(82.97%, 89.47%)

Females

26.32

(22.46%, 30.17%)

96.12

(94.43%, 97.81%)

Adults

45.98

(41.78%, 50.19%)

90.82

(88.39%, 93.26%)

Children

46.38

(41.45%, 51.30%)

93.54

(91.11%, 95.97%)

Male adults

60.71

(54.35%, 67.08%)

75.58

(69.98%, 81.18%)

  1. The PPV is defined as the proportion of all seropositive individuals at baseline who go on to have a PCR-detected infection during the study period. The NPV is defined as the proportion of all seronegative individuals at baseline who go on to remain infection-free for the whole study duration