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Table 2 Criteria in terms of the evaluation of LMM simulations

From: Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. II. Calibration and validation for West Africa

# name description nobs points var
1 overlap Any observation is included in the simulated range ≥1 +1 all variables
2 enclosure Every observation is included in the simulated range ≥2 +1 all variables
3 median enclosure The observed median is included in the simulated range ≥3 +1 HBR a EIR a CSPR a Seas MSeas PR a PR min,a PR max,a
4 median quartile enclosure The observed median is located within the lower and upper quartile of the simulations ≥5 +1 HBR a EIR a CSPR a Seas MSeas PR a PR min,a PR max,a
5 penalty The simulations exceed the one and a half time maximum of all field observations ≥1 -5 HBR a EIR a
6 frequency I: The observations as well as the simulations show the same month maximum occurrence of the monthly entomological inoculation rate (EIR m ). ≥3 +1 SSeas ESeas XSeas
   II: The majority of the observations and simulations show no or yearround transmission, respectively.    
   III: The observations and simulations reveal mostly no transmission.    
   IV: The month showing the most field observations of multiple years of EIR m is identical to the particular month resulting from the simulation.    
   SSeas/ESeas: Criterion I or II    
   XSeas: Criterion III or IV    
  1. Criteria in terms of the evaluation of LMM simulations which are based on field observations in the area of synoptic stations. The malaria runs are rated separately for each station. Every fulfilled criterion increases the score of such a model run by one point. The sum of the achieved points at all stations and from the eleven entomological and parasitological variables finally add to the skill score of a particular LMM set of parameter settings (SC(all)). Columns: #: criteria number; name: short term; description: criterion description; nobs: lowest number of available observations needed to fulfil the criterion; points: assigned number of points; var: malaria variables for which the particular criterion are applied.