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Table 3 Overview of calibration experiments

From: Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. II. Calibration and validation for West Africa

step

Parameter

area

SC

result

step 1

pd↓= 0

-

-

-

step 1.1

S ∈ [5, 30]

northern Sahel

SC(HBR a , EIR a )

⇒ S : = 10 mm

step 1.2

U 2 ∈ [500, 1000]

West Africa

SC(all)

⇒ U 2 : = 500 mm

step 1.3

#E p ∈ [50, 150]

Sahel

SC(HBR a , EIR a )

⇒ #E p ∈ [75, 125]

step 1.4

CAP ∈ [250, 2000]

West Africa

SC(all)

⇒ CAP ∈ [300, 900]

step 2

CAP ∈ [300, 900]

West Africa

SC(HBR a , EIR a )

⇒ CAP: 400 fertile

 

#E p ∈ [70, 130]

  

females, #Ep : = 120 eggs,

 

pd↓∈ [0, 10]

  

pd↓: = -10%

  1. Overview in terms of the evaluation of the performed calibration steps. Columns: step: step number; parameter: particular settings of the model parameter; area: area of interest; SC: applied skill score; result: result of the calibration step (for more details see text).