Spatial Model | Covariates/Drivers [Sources] | Derived Layer(s) Used in Model Projections |
---|---|---|
Land Change Modeler (LCM) | Land cover classification 2001 [38] | Distance from water bodies |
 | Land cover classification 2009 [38] | Distance from irrigated cropland |
 | Major roads and rivers [39] | Distance from roads |
MaxEnt | Mean monthly maximum and minimum temperature [40] | Current and future land cover projections from the LCM scenarios |
 | Mean monthly precipitation [40] | Annual range (maximum-minimum) of NDVI values |
 | Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) [41] |  |
 | An. arabiensis points [42] |  |
 | 16-day composites of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), 2001–2009 [38] |  |