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Figure 7 | Malaria Journal

Figure 7

From: Analysis of the causes of spawning of large-scale, severe malarial epidemics and their rapid total extinction in western Provence, historically a highly endemic region of France (1745–1850)

Figure 7

Theoretical probability of observing at least one epidemic according to the total amount of precipitation. The generalized linear model with a Poisson error distribution was used to compute the fitted probabilities. The fitted values are plotted against the amounts of precipitation (from previous November to current September). The more it rains in the previous winter, current spring and summer, the more probable epidemics occur.

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