Effect | Estimate (S.E.) | p | 95% confidence interval | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Average temperature in the previous month | 11.560 (2.8288) | <0.0001 | 6.016 | 17.105 |
Average temperature in the previous month squared | -0.329 (0.0744) | <0.0001 | -0.475 | -0.183 |
Rainfall in the previous month | -0.055 (0.0273) | 0.045 | -0.108 | -0.001 |
Rainfall at lag of two months | 0.007 (0.0015) | <0.0001 | 0.004 | 0.010 |
Interaction term: average temperature in the previous month × rainfall in the previous month | 0.003 (0.0014) | 0.015 | 0.0007 | 0.0063 |
Constant | -107.609 (26.9111) | <0.0001 | -160.353 | -54.864 |