Indicator | Bayesian negative binomial regression models | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stationary | Non-stationary with ecological sub-regions | Non-stationary with fixed sub-regions | ||||
IRRa | 95% BCIb | IRRa | 95% BCIb | IRRa | 95% BCIb | |
Age (years) | ||||||
6-10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
11-16 | 0.72 | 0.60, 0.85 | 0.71 | 0.60, 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.59, 0.83 |
Socioeconomic status | ||||||
Most poor | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
Very poor | 1.02 | 0.77, 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.75, 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.76, 1.23 |
Poor | 0.98 | 0.74, 1.27 | 0.96 | 0.73, 1.25 | 0.96 | 0.73, 1.22 |
Less poor | 1.15 | 0.87, 1.52 | 1.11 | 0.84, 1.46 | 1.11 | 0.83, 1.44 |
Least poor | 1.09 | 0.80, 1.46 | 1.07 | 0.79, 1.42 | 1.05 | 0.77, 1.39 |
Sleeping under a bed net | 0.81 | 0.60, 1.07 | 0.81 | 0.61, 1.07 | 0.82 | 0.61, 1.08 |
NDVI (categorized) | ||||||
<0.65 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
0.65-0.70 | 1.44 | 0.84, 2.35 | 1.54 | 0.94, 2.36 | 1.69 | 1.04, 2.54 |
>0.70 | 0.77 | 0.43, 1.29 | 0.76 | 0.46, 1.19 | 0.78 | 0.49, 1.21 |
Mean rainfall during transmission season | 1.27 | 1.03, 1.56 | 1.25 | 1.00, 1.54 | 1.20 | 0.96, 1.51 |
Maximum LST | 0.92 | 0.75, 1.12 | 0.91 | 0.75, 1.10 | 0.89 | 0.72, 1.09 |
Distance to rivers (m) | ||||||
<500 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
500-999 | 1.19 | 0.76, 1.80 | 1.08 | 0.73, 1.56 | 1.01 | 0.98, 1.55 |
≥ 1000 | 0.73 | 0.46, 1.10 | 0.71 | 0.46, 1.08 | 0.61 | 0.39, 0.92 |
r c | 0.16 | 0.15, 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15, 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15, 0.17 |
ρ 1 d | 0.0016 | 0.0005, 0.002 | 0.0013 | 0.0002, 0.002 | 0.0014 | 0.0003, 0.003 |
ρ 2 | 0.0016 | 0.0005, 0.002 | 0.0016 | 0.0006, 0.003 | ||
ρ 3 | 0.0014 | 0.0002, 0.002 | ||||
σ 1 2e | 0.33 | 0.18, 0.54 | 0.18 | 0.03, 0.45 | 0.14 | 0.02, 0.37 |
σ 2 2 | 1.08 | 0.37, 2.73 | 0.60 | 0.27, 1.19 | ||
σ 3 2 | 0.26 | 0.06, 0.68 | ||||
DIC f | 46,046.4 | 46,044.6 | 46,045 |