Table 2 Epidemiologic parameters considered in the analytic model, Amazon Region, Brazil, 2006.
PARÂMETER | BASE-CASE VALUE | VARIATION VALUES | INFORMATION SOURCES* |
|---|---|---|---|
Prevalence of malaria among febrile patients seeking diagnosis (1) | 24.6% | 12.7% - 28.5% | Base-case and variation: SIVEP/Malaria |
Proportion of malaria cases due to Plasmodium vivax (1) | 67.2% | 63.6% - 92.4% | Base-case and variation: SIVEP/Malaria |
Proportion of malaria cases due to Plasmodium falciparum (1) | 32.8% | 7.6% - 36.4% | Base-case and variation: SIVEP/Malaria |
Sensitivity of microscopy for Plasmodium vivax | 95% | 77% - 82% | Base-case: Ohrt et al., 2002 |
Variation: Haghdoost et al.,2006; Iqbal et al., 1999 | |||
Specificity of microscopy for Plasmodium vivax | 100% | 95.0% -100.0% | Base-case: Haghdoost et al.,2006 |
Variation: Haghdoost et al.,2006 | |||
Sensitivity of microscopy for Plasmodium falciparum | 92% | 83% - 92% | Base-case: Ohrt et al., 2002 |
Variation: Humar et al., 1997 | |||
Specificity of microscopy for Plasmodium falciparum | 100% | 99% - 100% | Base-case: Ndao et al., 2004 |
variation: Humar et al., 1997 | |||
Sensitivity of OptiMal® for Plasmodium vivax | 92% | 62.5% -100% | Base-case: PAHO Report, elaborated by Fontes, 2002 |
Variation: Ratsimbasoa et al.,2007; Londoño et al., 2002 | |||
Specificity of OptiMal® for Plasmodium vivax | 100% | 80% - 100% | Base-case: PAHO Report, elaborated by Fontes, 2002 |
Variation: Londoño et al., 2002 | |||
Sensitivity of OptiMal® for Plasmodium falciparum | 95.6% | 62.3% - 98.8% | Base-case: PAHO Report, elaborated by Fontes, 2002 |
Variation: Palmer et al., 1998; OPAS Report, elaborated by Fontes, 2002 | |||
Specificity of OptiMal® for Plasmodium falciparum | 99.6% | 89.3% - 100% | Base-case: PAHO Report, elaborated by Fontes, 2002 |
Variation: Ferro et al.,2002; Ratsimbasoa et al.,2007 |