Table 2 Malaria cases in 2010, total number of clinical cases of malaria over a 5 year period (2016–2020) for a scenario with no ACT resistance, and the additional malaria cases for each resistance scenario over the same time period (all in millions)
From: Assessing the potential impact of artemisinin and partner drug resistance in sub-Saharan Africa
Malaria incidence in 2010 (millions) | Total malaria cases with no ACT resistance (2016–2020) (millions) | Additional malaria cases due to ACT resistance (2016–2020) (millions) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | Scenario 5 | |||
Angola | 7.94 | 43.76 | 0.77 | 0.52 | 2.19 | 0.38 | 1.09 |
Benin | 4.19 | 28.62 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
Botswana | 0.10 | 0.68 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
Burkina Faso | 9.89 | 54.99 | 0.34 | 0.84 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
Burundi | 1.63 | 5.10 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 0.64 | 0.13 | 0.28 |
Cameroon | 10.51 | 58.64 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 2.03 | 0.21 | 1.12 |
Central Afr Rep | 2.37 | 12.80 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.55 | 0.06 | 0.29 |
Chad | 5.53 | 28.49 | 0.72 | 0.51 | 2.02 | 0.31 | 1.01 |
Congo | 1.97 | 10.22 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.67 | 0.10 | 0.33 |
Cote d’Ivoire | 10.85 | 57.80 | 0.65 | 0.70 | 2.04 | 0.18 | 1.11 |
Djibouti | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
Dem Rep Congo | 19.13 | 128.40 | 2.34 | 1.51 | 7.34 | 1.06 | 3.10 |
Eq. Guinea | 0.31 | 1.97 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
Eritrea | 0.35 | 2.76 | 0.20 | 0.07 | 0.61 | 0.11 | 0.28 |
Ethiopia | 2.60 | 41.38 | 1.02 | 0.57 | 3.25 | 0.22 | 1.45 |
Gabon | 0.58 | 4.64 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
Gambia | 0.35 | 1.85 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.04 | 0.09 |
Ghana | 8.74 | 59.20 | 0.94 | 0.82 | 2.90 | 0.31 | 1.48 |
Guinea | 5.16 | 27.27 | 0.49 | 0.30 | 1.48 | 0.25 | 0.74 |
Guinea-Bissau | 0.29 | 2.10 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.10 |
Kenya | 3.47 | 23.62 | 0.53 | 0.15 | 2.06 | 0.12 | 0.81 |
Lesotho | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Liberia | 1.51 | 9.59 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.54 | 0.08 | 0.26 |
Malawi | 6.95 | 36.22 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 1.14 | 0.14 | 0.57 |
Mali | 6.33 | 48.80 | 0.32 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.79 |
Mauritania | 0.59 | 3.12 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
Mozambique | 10.31 | 61.22 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 1.90 | 0.05 | 1.14 |
Namibia | 0.21 | 1.53 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
Niger | 5.46 | 34.27 | 0.64 | 0.46 | 1.86 | 0.36 | 1.00 |
Nigeria | 75.33 | 375.69 | 7.02 | 5.04 | 19.84 | 2.80 | 10.12 |
Rwanda | 0.50 | 1.04 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.07 |
Senegal | 1.47 | 8.10 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.74 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Sierra Leone | 2.36 | 9.72 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 0.62 | 0.09 | 0.27 |
Somalia | 1.06 | 5.70 | 0.42 | 0.16 | 1.27 | 0.20 | 0.53 |
South Africa | 1.36 | 4.84 | 0.51 | 0.30 | 1.64 | 0.20 | 0.70 |
South Sudan | 3.20 | 16.69 | 0.77 | 0.41 | 2.13 | 0.38 | 1.07 |
Sudan | 6.68 | 32.64 | 2.01 | 0.77 | 4.90 | 0.95 | 2.29 |
Swaziland | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Tanzania | 10.45 | 41.10 | 1.22 | 0.82 | 3.45 | 0.56 | 1.69 |
Togo | 2.82 | 20.03 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.62 | 0.01 | 0.36 |
Uganda | 13.26 | 81.38 | 1.29 | 1.04 | 3.99 | 0.47 | 1.98 |
Zambia | 2.51 | 28.33 | 0.49 | 0.25 | 1.33 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
Zimbabwe | 0.99 | 5.96 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.37 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
Totals | 249.33 | 1420.39 | 26.81 | 19.30 | 77.77 | 10.23 | 39.04 |