Table 5 Optimal 5-year (Y1 through Y5) sequences of interventions for the pessimistic efficacy scenario
From: Multi-year optimization of malaria intervention: a mathematical model
|
Geographic region |
Number of districts |
Initial population state |
Y1 intervention (end pop. state) |
Y2 intervention (end pop. state) |
Y3 intervention (end pop. state) |
Y4 intervention (end pop. state) |
Y5 intervention (end pop. state) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (D, L) | 500 | (60, 15, 25) | ACT 60 % | None | None | None | None |
| (90, 0, 10) | (95, 0, 5) | (100, 0, 0) | (100, 0, 0) | (100, 0, 0) | |||
| (D, M) | 500 | (60, 15, 25) | ACT 60 % | None | None | None | None |
| (90, 0, 10) | (95, 0, 5) | (100, 0, 0) | (100, 0, 0) | (100, 0, 0) | |||
| (D, H) | 500 | (60, 15, 25) | ACT 60 % | None | None | None | None |
| (90, 0, 10) | (95, 0, 5) | (100, 0, 0) | (100, 0, 0) | (100, 0, 0) | |||
| (M, L) | 494 | (15, 15, 70) | ACT 60 % | ACT_IRS 60 % | ACT_IRS 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (60, 5, 35) | (80, 5, 15) | (75, 10, 15) | (70, 10, 20) | (70, 10, 20) | |||
| (M, L) | 6 | (15, 15, 70) | ACT 60 % | ACT_IRS 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (60, 5, 35) | (80, 5, 15) | (75, 10, 15) | (70, 10, 20) | (70, 10, 20) | |||
| (M, M) | 500 | (15, 15, 70) | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (65, 5, 30) | (75, 10, 15) | (70, 10, 20) | (70, 10, 20) | (70, 10, 20) | |||
| (M, H) | 500 | (15, 15, 70) | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (65, 5, 30) | (75, 10, 15) | (70, 10, 20) | (70, 10, 20) | (70, 10, 20) | |||
| (W, L) | 464 | (10, 15, 75) | None | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (60, 5, 35) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | |||
| (W, L) | 35 | (10, 15, 75) | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (60, 5, 35) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | |||
| (W, L) | 1 | (10, 15, 75) | IPT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (60, 5, 35) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | |||
| (W, M) | 499 | (10, 15, 75) | None | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (60, 5, 35) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | |||
| (W, M) | 1 | (10, 15, 75) | IPT 40 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (60, 5, 35) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | |||
| (W, H) | 241 | (10, 15, 75) | None | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (60, 5, 35) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | (60, 10, 30) | |||
| (W, H) | 140 | (10, 15, 75) | None | None | LLIN 20 % | None | None |
| (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (5, 15, 80) | (10, 15, 75) | |||
| (W, H) | 109 | (10, 15, 75) | None | LLIN 20 % | None | None | None |
| (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (5, 15, 80) | (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) | |||
| (W, H) | 3 | (10, 15, 75) | LLIN 20 % | None | IPT 40 % | LLIN 20 % | LLIN_ACT 60 % |
| (20, 10, 70) | (5, 15, 80) | (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (55, 10, 35) | |||
| (W, H) | 2 | (10, 15, 75) | None | IPT 60 % | LLIN 20 % | None | None |
| (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (5, 15, 80) | (10, 15, 75) | |||
| (W, H) | 2 | (10, 15, 75) | None | LLIN 20 % | None | IPT 40 % | IPT 60 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (5, 15, 80) | (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) | |||
| (W, H) | 1 | (10, 15, 75) | None | None | IPT 60 % | LLIN 20 % | IPT 20 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (10, 15, 75) | |||
| (W, H) | 1 | (10, 15, 75) | None | IPT 60 % | LLIN 20 % | None | LLIN_ACT 20 % |
| (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (5, 15, 80) | (25, 10, 65) | |||
| (W, H) | 1 | (10, 15, 75) | None | LLIN 20 % | None | IPT 40 % | None |
| (10, 15, 75) | (20, 10, 70) | (5, 15, 80) | (10, 15, 75) | (10, 15, 75) |