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Table 2 Multiplicative interaction model of parasite reservoir variables and most deterministic factor of malaria reintroduction by risk classification

From: Predicting factors for malaria re-introduction: an applied model in an elimination setting to prevent malaria outbreaks

Parasite reservoir variables

Population movement of a target focus with endemic areas (Ø)

Risk category

High

Moderate

Low

Quality of population movement in a target focus

High

25

19

1

Moderate

19.5

14.82

0.78

Low

0.5

0.38

0.02

Proportion of immigrants from neighboring malaria endemic countries in a target focus who were examined for malaria during last malaria transmission season

High

23.5

20

1.5

Moderate

18.33

15.6

1.17

Low

0.47

0.4

0.03

Having a history of malaria outbreaks in a target focus

High

20.5

16.5

8

Moderate

15.99

12.87

6.24

Low

0.41

0.33

0.16

Report of malaria cases (regardless epidemiological classification) in a target focus during last 3 weeks

High

25.5

14.5

5

Moderate

19.89

11.31

3.9

Low

0.51

0.29

0.1

Target focus classification

High

19.5

18.5

7

Moderate

15.21

14.43

5.46

Low

0.39

0.37

0.14