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Table 7 Risk assessment of foci with a history of reintroduction, outbreak and also malaria free (control) to determine sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of the model

From: Predicting factors for malaria re-introduction: an applied model in an elimination setting to prevent malaria outbreaks

Risk category

High

Moderate

Low

Range of GM scores

Foci classification

 Reintroduction

136 (34 %)

149 (37.2 %)

115 (28.8)

9.08–16.35

 Outbreak

71 (50.7 %)

56 (40 %)

13 (9.3 %)

17.02–18.96

 Control

65 (12.1 %)

80 (14.8 %)

395 (73.1 %)

0.14–5.98

Foci classification

Outbreak

Reintroduction

Control

Test

 +

7

20

6

 –

0

0

21

 Total

7

20

27

Sensitivity (%)

100 %

100 %

Specificity (%)

77 %

Positive predictive value (%)

81.8 %

Negative predictive value (%)

100 %