M1 | M2 | M3 | |
---|---|---|---|
IRR (95 % CI) | IRR (95 % CI) | IRR (95 % CI) | |
All age | |||
Intercept | 0.004 (0.00, 0.180) | 0.0002 (0.0, 0.170) | 0.0002 (0.0, 0.175) |
Mosquito nets | 0.959 (0.944, 0.975) | 0.948 (0.917, 0.977) | 0.950 (0.919, 0.977) |
Annual rainfall | 1.047 (1.024, 1.071) | 1.066 (1.031, 1.107) | 1.066 (1.031, 1.106) |
Average temperature | 0.998 (0.986, 1.009) | 1.007 (0.986, 1.031) | 1.006 (0.986, 1.029) |
Mean NDVI | 1.045 (0.985,1.109) | 1.058 (0.974, 1.146) | 1.059 (0.976, 1.147) |
Spatial random effect | 21.89 (6.82, 57.92) | 22.16 (6.89, 59.28) | |
Temporal random effect | 80.26 (11.49, 265.0) | 120.96 (13.44, 475.23) | |
Spatial–temporal random effect | 24,453.3 (1988.4, 97, 438.8) | ||
DIC | 1933.614 | 1880.076 | 1902.217 |
Under five | |||
Intercept | 2.294 (0.01, 72.539) | 0.151 (0.0, 18.81) | 0.160 (0.0, 14.161) |
Mosquito nets | 0.951 (0.929, 0.973) | 0.946 (0.909, 0.982) | 0.946 (0.910, 0.982) |
Annual rainfall | 1.037 (1.003, 1.072) | 1.056 (1.008, 1.110) | 1.054 (1.007, 1.107) |
Average temperature | 0.982 (0.965, 0.998) | 0.989 (0.962, 1.100) | 0.989 (0.963, 1.018) |
Mean NDVI | 1.010 (0.926, 1.102) | 1.030 (0.934, 1.137) | 1.030 (0.934, 1.137) |
Spatial random effect | 28,708.6 (3481.2, 89,382.7) | 28,499.5 (3476.5, 88, 897.6) | |
Temporal random effect | 44.87 (7.71, 139.67) | 54.73 (8.59, 180.77) | |
Spatial–temporal random effect | 18,370.02 (18,242.8, 66, 475.6) | ||
DIC | 1504.408 | 1483.748 | 1508.173 |