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Table 5 Evaluation the results of GP, GAM, and linear regression models for the annual average case

From: Spatial distribution estimation of malaria in northern China and its scenarios in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050

Model 

Train result

Test result

ARE (%)

MSSE

R2

ARE (%)

MSSE

R2

GP

8.127

264.180

0.825

17.102

311.229

0.532

GAM

19.163

540.100

0.445

30.155

392.238

0.452

Linear

27.449

690.995

0.159

31.031

490.594

0.189