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Table 1 Coefficients and standard errors of parameters of both ARIMA models

From: Time series analysis of malaria in Afghanistan: using ARIMA models to predict future trends in incidence

  Coefficient Standard error
Coefficients, and standard errors of the parameters of the ARIMA Model 1 [(4,1,1) × (1,0,1)12]
 Intercept −0.0197 0.0186
 Non-seasonal AR(1) 0.6745 0.1342
 Non-seasonal AR(2) 0.0120 0.1162
 Non-seasonal AR(3) −0.0068 0.1161
 Non-seasonal AR(4) −0.3169 0.0991
 Non-seasonal MA(1) −0.7784 0.0890
 Seasonal AR(1) 0.9998 0.0016
 Seasonal MA(1) −0.9576 0.1424
Coefficients, and standard errors of the parameters of the ARIMA Model 2 [(1,1,1) × (1,0,1)12]
 Intercept −0.0209 0.0840
 Non-seasonal AR(1) −0.0035 0.0028
 Non-seasonal MA(1) −0.0524 0.0163
 Seasonal AR(1) 0.9996 0.0000
 Seasonal MA(1) −0.9154 0.0094
Coefficients, and standard errors of the parameters of the ARIMA Model 2 [(1,1,1) × (1,0,1)12]—Lag2 EVI
 Intercept −0.0408 0.0953
 Non-seasonal AR(1) 0.7777 0.0729
 Non-seasonal MA(1) −1.0000 0.0033
 Seasonal AR(1) 0.9993 0.0023
 Seasonal MA(1) −0.8782 0.1833