Table 1 Coefficients and standard errors of parameters of both ARIMA models
| Â | Coefficient | Standard error |
|---|---|---|
Coefficients, and standard errors of the parameters of the ARIMA Model 1 [(4,1,1) × (1,0,1)12] | ||
 Intercept | −0.0197 | 0.0186 |
 Non-seasonal AR(1) | 0.6745 | 0.1342 |
 Non-seasonal AR(2) | 0.0120 | 0.1162 |
 Non-seasonal AR(3) | −0.0068 | 0.1161 |
 Non-seasonal AR(4) | −0.3169 | 0.0991 |
 Non-seasonal MA(1) | −0.7784 | 0.0890 |
 Seasonal AR(1) | 0.9998 | 0.0016 |
 Seasonal MA(1) | −0.9576 | 0.1424 |
Coefficients, and standard errors of the parameters of the ARIMA Model 2 [(1,1,1) × (1,0,1)12] | ||
 Intercept | −0.0209 | 0.0840 |
 Non-seasonal AR(1) | −0.0035 | 0.0028 |
 Non-seasonal MA(1) | −0.0524 | 0.0163 |
 Seasonal AR(1) | 0.9996 | 0.0000 |
 Seasonal MA(1) | −0.9154 | 0.0094 |
Coefficients, and standard errors of the parameters of the ARIMA Model 2 [(1,1,1) × (1,0,1)12]—Lag2 EVI | ||
 Intercept | −0.0408 | 0.0953 |
 Non-seasonal AR(1) | 0.7777 | 0.0729 |
 Non-seasonal MA(1) | −1.0000 | 0.0033 |
 Seasonal AR(1) | 0.9993 | 0.0023 |
 Seasonal MA(1) | −0.8782 | 0.1833 |