Steps ahead | Model | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | Model 2 | |||||||
(4,1,1) × (1,0,1)12 | (4,1,1) × (1,0,1)12—lag 2 vegetation | (1,1,1) × (1,0,1)12 | (1,1,1) × (1,0,1)12—lag 2 vegetation | |||||
MSE | R2 | MSE | R2 | MSE | R2 | MSE | R2 | |
2 | 0.041 | 0.897 | 0.045 | 0.887 | 0.045 | 0.887 | 0.041 | 0.897 |
3 | 0.075 | 0.812 | 0.075 | 0.810 | 0.064 | 0.838 | 0.066 | 0.833 |
6 | 0.113 | 0.634 | 0.132 | 0.666 | 0.107 | 0.729 | 0.107 | 0.729 |
12 | 0.160 | 0.595 | 0.168 | 0.575 | 0.145 | 0.633 | 0.144 | 0.638 |