Fig. 2
From: A stochastic model for the probability of malaria extinction by mass drug administration
Extinction probability by MDA coverage at various values of R c and clustering of MDA coverage for a population size of 1000. The number of secondary cases is assumed to have a Poisson distribution, and the number of remaining infections post-MDA takes a negative binomial distribution with size parameter 100 (top), 50 (centre), 1 (bottom). The vertical red line indicates 95% MDA coverage