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Table 3 October to December rainfall and subsequent January to June malaria incidence

From: Malaria early warning tool: linking inter-annual climate and malaria variability in northern Guadalcanal, Solomon Islands

Region

Points

Pearson (r)

Spearman (ρ)

R2

\({\text{R}}^{2}{_{\text{adj}}}\)

\({\text{R}}^{2}{_{\text{LOOCV}}}\)

Guadalcanal (CMTGP)

21

− 0.90 [− 0.77, − 0.95]

− 0.90 [− 0.75, − 0.97]

0.81 [0.60, 0.91]

0.80 [0.58, 0.90]

0.77

Northern Guadalcanal (CMTNG)

14

− 0.86 [− 0.57, − 0.94]

− 0.84 [− 0.45, 0.97]

0.74 [0.32, 0.88]

0.72 [0.27, 0.86]

0.63

Southern Guadalcanal (CMTSG)

14

− 0.09

− 0.09

0.01

0.0

0.0

  1. Summary of regression and correlation statistics including 95% bootstrap confidence intervals (1000 bootstrap samples)