From: Analysis of clinical malaria disease patterns and trends in Vietnam 2009–2015
Plasmodium falciparum RR (95% CrI) | Plasmodium vivax RR (95% CrI) | |
---|---|---|
Model I | ||
Intercepta | − 1.67 (− 1.94, − 1.35) | − 1.93 (− 2.24, − 1.72) |
Treated net coverageb | 0.99 (0.988, 0.99) | 1.012 (1.01, 1.013) |
IRSb | 1.009 (1.007, 1.11) | 1.005 (1.004, 1.007) |
Temp max (degree celsius) | 1.039 (1.035, 1.044) | 1.01 (1.006, 1.014) |
Mean monthly trend | 1.003 (1.000, 1.005) | 0.99 (0.987, 0.992) |
Probability of extra zero | 0.15 (0.15, 0.16) | 0.20 (0.19, 0.21) |
Heterogeneitya | ||
Unstructured | 0.13 (0.11, 0.14) | 0.17 (0.14, 0.19) |
Structured (spatial) | ||
Structured (trend) | 0.96 (0.80, 1.13) | 1.14 (0.92, 1.39) |
DIC | 118700 | 53474.2 |
Model II | ||
Intercepta | − 1.69 (− 1.75, − 1.63) | − 1.88 (− 1.97 − 1.80) |
ITN coverageb | 0.99 (0.987, 0.992) | 0.92 (0.91 0.92) |
IRSb | 1.039 (1.035, 1.044) | 1.04 (1.03 1.05) |
Temp max (degree celsius) | 1.008 (1.005, 1.01) | 1.009 (1.005 1.01) |
Mean monthly trend | 1.003 (1.000, 1.005) | 1.003 (1.002, 1.004) |
Probability of extra zero | 0.16 (0.14, 0.17) | 0.20 (0.18 0.22) |
Heterogeneitya | ||
Unstructured | 0.19 (0.16 0.23) | |
Structured (spatial) | 0.93 (0.15, 0.20) | 1.13 (0.91 1.39) |
Structured (trend) | 0.18 (0.77, 1.10) | |
DIC | 119226 | 53527 |
Model IIIc | ||
Intercepta | − 1.78 (− 1.90, − 1.64) | − 1.88 (− 1.98, − 1.79) |
ITN coverageb | 0.989 (0.988, 0.991) | 1.01 (1.009, 1.014) |
IRSb | 1.009 (1.007, 1.01) | 1.005 (1.003, 1.007) |
Temp max (degree censuis) | 1.04 (1.035, 1.043) | 1.016 (1.009, 1.02) |
Mean monthly trend | 1.003 (1.000, 1.005) | 0.988 (0.985, 0.99) |
Probability of extra zero | 0.15 (0.14, 0.16) | 0.20 (0.18, 0.22) |
Heterogeneitya | ||
Unstructured | 0.88 (0.62, 1.32) | 2.52 (1.52, 4.32) |
Structured (spatial) | 0.38 (0.26, 0.54) | 0.29 (0.21, 0.38) |
Structured (trend) | 0.94 (0.78, 1.12) | 1.14 (0.91, 1.39) |
DIC | 118695 | 53436.7 |