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Table 2 Estimates of the impact of COVID-19 epidemic on disease burden during the first and second six months of the COVID-19 time period

From: Impact of COVID-19 on routine malaria indicators in rural Uganda: an interrupted time series analysis

Outcomes

April 2020-September 2020

October 2020-March 2021

Observeda

Expecteda

Ratio [95% CI]b

Observeda

Expecteda

Ratio [95% CI]b

Total number of outpatient visits

196,300

216,822

0.91 [0.82, 1.00]

187,573

186,136

1.01 [0.81,1.23]

No of visits with a malaria diagnosis

75,825

82,8842

0.92 [0.76, 1.14]

60,032

50,050

1.20 [0.75, 1.84]

Number of non-malaria visits

120,475

123,902

0.97 [0.92, 1.04]

127,541

118,890

1.07 [0.95, 1.21]

% Suspected/visits

61.9%

64.1%

0.97 [0.93, 1.04]

61.6%

61.9%

0.99 [0.89,1.22]

% Tested with RDT

85.4%

88.3%

0.97 [0.91, 1.01]

80.3%

92.2%

0.87 [0.78,0.97]

% Malaria cases prescribed AL

94.2%

95.2%

0.99 [0.98, 1.00]

89.1%

94.4%

0.94 [0.90, 0.99]

  1. aEstimates reported as the total number of visits or mean proportion during the 1-year post-policy period
  2. bFor visit outcomes, this represents an incidence rate ratio; for proportions, a relative percent ratio. Assumed a constant population at-risk over the study period