Table 2 Probabilistic sensitivity analysis parameters
Programme | Baseline incidence (cases per person per year) | Cost estimate (USD) | Standard deviation of cost | Effect estimate (IRR) | Standard deviation of effect (on log scale) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ghana AIRS/VectorLink Northeastern and Northern Regions | 0.39 | 5.21 | 1.43 | 0.60 | 0.11 |
Mali AIRS/VectorLink Mopti Region | 0.26 | 7.76 | 1.43 | 0.68 | 0.20 |
Uganda Abt bilateral Northern and Eastern Regions | 0.20 | 5.53 | 1.43 | 0.53 | 0.20 |
Zambia AIRS/VectorLink Eastern, Luapula, Muchinga, Northern Provinces | 0.21 | 3.35 | 1.43 | 0.88 | 0.20 |
Global sensitivity analysis | Varied (from 0.001 to 1 per person-year) | 5.33 | 1.43 | 0.67 | 0.15 |
Additional parameters | Parameter | Point estimate | Distribution | Sensitivity | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Case fatality rate | Proportion of incident cases resulting in death | 0.002 | Fixed | Reduced by 50% to 0.001 in global probabilistic sensitivity analysis | N/A |
DALYs per death | Estimated number of DALYs accrued per each death | 33 | Fixed | Not analysed | N/A |