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Table 1 Parasite clearance rate and changepoint estimates from M4, all methods

From: Evaluation of a multiphasic parasite clearance profile after treatment of experimental human infection with the investigational anti-malarial M5717 using segmented mixed effect models

Method

Treatment group

Parameter estimates with 95% CI

CP (95% CI, hours)

Slope before CP (log10[parasites/ml] / hour)

Slope after CP (log10[parasites/ml] / hour)

HRPC before CP (%)

HRPC after CP (%)

Segmented mixed model

 150 mg (n = 6)

33.9

(28.7, 39.1)

0.003

( −  0.004, 0.011)

 − 0.090

(− 0.103, − 0.076)

 − 0.8

(− 2.5, 0.9)

18.6

(16.0, 21.1)

 400 mg (n = 8)

57.4

(52.5, 62.4)

 − 0.004

(− 0.007, − 0.001)

 − 0.080

(− 0.092, − 0.067)

0.9

(0.2, 1.6)

16.8

(14.3, 19.1)

 800 mg (n = 8)

52.8

(47.4, 58.1)

 − 0.008

(− 0.011, − 0.005)

 − 0.054

(− 0.066, − 0.042)

1.9

(1.1, 2.6)

11.7

(9.3, 14.1)

Grid − Search Segmented mixed model

 150 mg (n = 6)

35

(NA)

0.000

(− 0.006, 0.006)

 − 0.088

(− 0.099, − 0.076)

 − 0.0

(− 1.4, 1.3)

18.3

(16.1, 20.4)

 400 mg (n = 8)

54

(NA)

 − 0.003

(− 0.006, 0.001)

 − 0.072

(− 0.082, − 0.062)

0.6

(− 0.2, 1.4)

15.3

(13.3, 17.2)

 800 mg (n = 8)

52

(NA)

 − 0.008

(− 0.012, − 0.005)

 − 0.053

(− 0.063, − 0.043)

1.9

(1.1, 2.6)

11.5

(9.5, 13.6)

Two-stage segmented regression approach

 150 mg (n = 6)

36.1

(29.9, 42.2)

0.000

(− 0.006, 0.006)

 − 0.093

(− 0.107, − 0.078)

0.1

(− 1.3, 1.4)

19.2

(16.4, 21.9)

 400 mg (n = 8)

58.9

(53.2, 64.6)

 − 0.004

(− 0.007, − 0.001)

 − 0.081

(− 0.094, − 0.068)

0.9

(0.3, 1.6)

17.0

(14.4, 19.5)

 800 mg (n = 8)

51.8

(45.8, 57.7)

 − 0.008

(− 0.011, − 0.005)

 − 0.052

(− 0.065, − 0.039)

1.8

(1.2, 2.4)

11.3

(8.7, 13.8)

  1. CP changepoint, CI confidence interval, HPRC hourly rate of parasite clearance