Table 3 Parameter estimates of the models and their 95% confidence interval for some selected Districts in the Region
Districts | Parameter | Estimate | Districts | Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Wolkite | \(\beta _{0}\) | −6.95 (−9.26, −4.64) | Sheshage | −7.13 (−11.12, −3.14) |
\(\beta _{1}sin(2*pi*t/12)\) | 0.101 (0.065, 0.138) | 0.142 (0.109, 0.174) | ||
\(\beta _{2}cos(2*pi*t/12)\) | 0.417 (0.367, 0.467) | −0.224 (−0.264, −0.183) | ||
\(\beta _{3}sin(2*pi*t/4)\) | −0.178 (−0.360, 0.003) | −0.163 (−0.331, 0.006) | ||
\(\beta _{4}cos(2*pi*t/4)\) | 0.134 (0.099, 0.169) | 0.085 (−0.058, 0.228) | ||
\(\beta _{5}log.precipitation\) | 0.223 (0.105, 0.341) | 0.307 (0.207, 0.407)8 | ||
\(\beta _{6}temperature\) | 0.222 (0.163, 0.282) | 0.368 (0.247, 0.488) | ||
\(\beta _{7}humidity\) | 0.123 (0.093, 0.154) | 0.186 (0.161, 0.211) | ||
\(\beta _{8}NTL\) | 0.011 (0.010, 0.012) | −4.860 (−6.525, −3.195) | ||
\(\sigma ^{2}\) | 0.933 (0.012, 1.853) | 0.890 (0.369, 1.412) | ||
\(\phi\) | 5.806 (5.640, 5.972) | 6.976 (6.832, 7.120) | ||
Dilla | \(\beta _{0}\) | −6.31 (−14.03, 1.42) | Selamago | −4.425 (−16.326, 7.476) |
\(\beta _{1} sin(2*pi*t/12)\) | −0.097 (−0.679, 0.484) | 0.089 (−0.143, 0.321) | ||
\(\beta _{2}cos(2*pi*t/12)\) | 0.410 (0.339, 0.482) | 0.141 (−0.180, 0.463) | ||
\(\beta _{3} sin(2*pi*t/4)\) | −0.039 (−0.065, −0.012) | 0.104 (0.072, 0.137) | ||
\(\beta _{4}cos(2*pi*t/4)\) | 0.071 (0.043, 0.099) | 0.278 (0.130, 0.426) | ||
\(\beta _{5}log.precipitation\) | 0.292 (0.170, 0.713) | 0.776 (0.266, 2.015) | ||
\(\beta _{6}temperature\) | 0.750 (0.488, 1.011) | 0.132 (0.112, 0.152) | ||
\(\beta _{7}humidity\) | 0.133 (0.091, 0.175) | 0.009 (-0.009, 0.027) | ||
\(\beta _{8}NTL\) | 0.000 (−0.001, 0.002) | 3.495 (−1.148, 8.138) | ||
\(\sigma ^{2}\) | 2.326 (1.967, 2.684) | 0.223 (0.060, 0.385) | ||
\(\phi\) | 5.939 (5.783, 6.095) | 1.524 (1.056, 1.991) | ||
Bero | \(\beta _{0}\) | −9.494 (−15.047, −3.941) | Dasenech | −7.890 (−13.250, −2.531) |
\(\beta _{1} sin(2*pi*t/12)\) | −0.154 (−0.486, 0.177) | 0.422 (0.374, 0.470) | ||
\(\beta _{2}cos(2*pi*t/12)\) | 0.330 (0.030, 0.630) | 0.125 (0.062, 0.188) | ||
\(\beta _{3} sin(2*pi*t/4)\) | −0.066 (−0.20, 0.069) | −0.014 (−0.227, 0.198) | ||
\(\beta _{4}cos(2*pi*t/4)\) | 0.011 (−0.134, 0.156) | −0.119 (−0.364, 0.126) | ||
\(\beta _{5}log.precipitation\) | 0.634 (0.245, 1.022) | 2.099 (0.507, 3.691) | ||
\(\beta _{6}temperature\) | 0.083 (0.012, 0.155) | 0.192 (0.015, 0.370) | ||
\(\beta _{7}humidity\) | −0.005 (−0.021, 0.010) | 0.023 (−0.006, 0.052) | ||
\(\beta _{8}NTL\) | −1.200 (−2.395, −0.004) | −0.625 (−8.857, 7.607) | ||
\(\sigma ^{2}\) | 0.768 (0.475, 1.061) | 1.024 (0.414, 1.633) | ||
\(\phi\) | 5.393 (5.239, 5.548) | 2.863 (2.592, 3.134) | ||
Arbaminch | \(\beta _{0}\) | −4.755 (−7.924, −1.585) | Hawassa | −6.455 (−8.646, −4.264) |
\(\beta _{1} sin(2*pi*t/12)\) | −0.329 (−0.577, −0.080) | 0.334 (0.132, 0.535) | ||
\(\beta _{2}cos(2*pi*t/12)\) | −0.070 (−0.097, −0.044) | 0.085 (−0.156, 0.327) | ||
\(\beta _{3} sin(2*pi*t/4)\) | 0.106 (−0.002, 0.215) | 0.020 (−0.082, 0.123) | ||
\(\beta _{4}cos(2*pi*t/4)\) | 0.118 (0.014, 0.223) | 0.084 (−0.005, 0.172) | ||
\(\beta _{5}log.precipitation\) | 0.411 (0.256, 0.567) | 0.605 (0.197, 1.012) | ||
\(\beta _{6}temperature\) | 0.389 (0.290, 0.487) | 0.012 (-−0.040, 0.063) | ||
\(\beta _{7}humidity\) | −0.037 (−0.055, −0.018) | −0.008 (−0.024, 0.007) | ||
\(\beta _{8}NTL\) | 0.021 (0.020, 0.021) | 0.000 (0.000, 0.001) | ||
\(\sigma ^{2}\) | 0.538 (0.140, 0.936) | 0.784 (−1.121, 2.689) | ||
\(\phi\) | 7.497 (7.375, 7.619) | 17.129 (17.037, 17.220) |